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Dani Pal8a · CC BY-SA 4.0

Blog · Analysis unit

Criminal analysis, regional security and geopolitics.

Readings from Stratnex's intelligence unit on the dynamics that change risk in Latin America: who operates, how, where and what it means for an operation. Method before headlines; verifiable sources at the foot of every piece.

Criminal analysis Extortion in Mexico: what the General Law changes, and what it does not change for companies The law that took effect in November 2025 standardises the offence, makes it prosecutable ex officio and raises penalties. None of those three things, on its own, prevents the call a company receives tomorrow. Read the analysis · 9 min read Regional security Ecuador after its most violent year: the geography of risk runs through the ports With 9,216 homicides and a rate of 50.9 per hundred thousand inhabitants, Ecuador closed 2025 with the worst figures in its history while the region as a whole went down. Understanding why means looking at the map, not the national average. Read the analysis · 9 min read Geopolitics and security The "Bukele model" four years on: what can be replicated and what cannot El Salvador went from being one of the most violent countries in the world to having the lowest homicide rate in the region. Before copying the recipe, it is worth understanding which conditions made it possible and which do not exist in Mexico, Ecuador or Colombia. Read the analysis · 10 min read Geopolitics and security Cartels as terrorist organisations: the legal risk that changed for companies in Mexico The US designation of February 2025 did not change what the cartels do. It changed what any contact with them can cost a company, including contact that happens under threat. Read the analysis · 9 min read Criminal analysis Tren de Aragua: anatomy of a transnational criminal franchise Born in a Venezuelan prison, it operates in at least seven South American countries and its brand is used even where it has no structure. Understanding how it works explains why it is so hard to measure and to fight. Read the analysis · 9 min read

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